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What History Tells Us About Markets & Midterm Elections 

June 25, 2026 By Michael Clark

While election-related volatility can create concern, history provides helpful context. Looking back over multiple election cycles, markets have often experienced weaker or uneven performance leading up to midterms. This reflects uncertainty as investors wait to see how the political landscape will take shape.

However, once elections are behind us and uncertainty begins to clear, markets have generally shown more stability. This pattern is less about politics and more about clarity. When investors have a better sense of the environment ahead, confidence tends to improve.

Here are some additional thoughts on the longer-term history of what occurs before and after a mid-term election:

As always, past performance does not guarantee future results, but historical trends can help guide expectations.

Filed Under: Blog, Front Page

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